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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.04+1.70vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.24+0.39vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.28+0.96vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.20+0.08vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.07-0.81vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.21+0.38vs Predicted
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7Saint Mary's College-1.68-0.05vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.92-0.61vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-2.03-1.32vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-4.92+0.58vs Predicted
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11John Carroll University-3.80-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7University of Notre Dame1.040.3%1st Place
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2.39University of Wisconsin1.240.3%1st Place
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3.96University of Michigan0.280.1%1st Place
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4.08Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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4.19Northwestern University0.070.1%1st Place
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6.38Marquette University-1.210.0%1st Place
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6.95Saint Mary's College-1.680.0%1st Place
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7.39University of Notre Dame-1.920.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Notre Dame-2.030.0%1st Place
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10.58Ohio State University-4.920.0%1st Place
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9.7John Carroll University-3.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Szymanski | 25.8% | 25.0% | 20.7% | 16.9% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lively | 34.7% | 25.6% | 18.1% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Youtt | 11.3% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 17.5% | 20.0% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 10.8% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 19.9% | 13.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Beretta | 9.2% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Higgins | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 18.5% | 20.9% | 16.8% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Grace Marcheselli | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 13.9% | 19.3% | 23.0% | 18.6% | 5.3% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Timofeev | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 12.0% | 17.9% | 22.0% | 25.0% | 7.8% | 1.0% |
| Megan O'Gorman | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 23.2% | 27.9% | 11.8% | 1.6% |
| Hannah Santantonio | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 4.1% | 18.4% | 74.1% |
| Thomas Wirbel | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 11.4% | 53.3% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.