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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.24+1.44vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.20+2.01vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.60+0.48vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.70-0.70vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.28-1.11vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.21+0.51vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-1.92+0.42vs Predicted
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8Saint Mary's College-1.68-0.89vs Predicted
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9John Carroll University-3.80+0.80vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-4.52+0.41vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-2.03-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44University of Wisconsin1.240.3%1st Place
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4.01Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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3.48University of Notre Dame0.600.2%1st Place
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3.3Northwestern University0.700.2%1st Place
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3.89University of Michigan0.280.1%1st Place
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6.51Marquette University-1.210.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Notre Dame-1.920.0%1st Place
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7.11Saint Mary's College-1.680.0%1st Place
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9.8John Carroll University-3.800.0%1st Place
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10.41Ohio State University-4.520.0%1st Place
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7.63University of Notre Dame-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lively | 33.4% | 25.9% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 11.5% | 12.4% | 17.5% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Peluchiwski | 15.4% | 17.9% | 18.7% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Hutzler | 18.1% | 18.7% | 19.2% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Youtt | 13.4% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 18.3% | 14.0% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Higgins | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 19.9% | 21.0% | 18.7% | 11.6% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Timofeev | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 22.8% | 25.9% | 8.4% | 1.0% |
| Grace Marcheselli | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 12.6% | 21.3% | 21.6% | 18.9% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Wirbel | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 10.7% | 46.8% | 30.7% |
| Lindsey Heben | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 5.5% | 24.7% | 64.6% |
| Megan O'Gorman | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 9.6% | 16.5% | 22.7% | 26.6% | 10.0% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.