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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.70+2.23vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.60+1.38vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.20+1.18vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.24-1.50vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.28-1.11vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.21+0.46vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-2.03+0.61vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.92-0.52vs Predicted
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9Saint Mary's College-1.68-1.73vs Predicted
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10John Carroll University-3.45-0.47vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-4.52-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23Northwestern University0.700.2%1st Place
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3.38University of Notre Dame0.600.2%1st Place
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4.18Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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2.5University of Wisconsin1.240.3%1st Place
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3.89University of Michigan0.280.1%1st Place
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6.46Marquette University-1.210.0%1st Place
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7.61University of Notre Dame-2.030.0%1st Place
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7.48University of Notre Dame-1.920.0%1st Place
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7.27Saint Mary's College-1.680.0%1st Place
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9.53John Carroll University-3.450.0%1st Place
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10.47Ohio State University-4.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Hutzler | 17.4% | 21.3% | 18.9% | 18.5% | 14.8% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Peluchiwski | 17.6% | 18.1% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 10.9% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 20.8% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lively | 31.1% | 26.2% | 19.1% | 13.1% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Youtt | 14.0% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 19.4% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Higgins | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 20.7% | 20.9% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Megan O'Gorman | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 22.9% | 25.6% | 12.0% | 2.0% |
| Daniel Timofeev | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 11.9% | 18.3% | 20.6% | 22.9% | 11.4% | 1.4% |
| Grace Marcheselli | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 12.2% | 18.8% | 22.1% | 19.6% | 8.3% | 2.5% |
| Mary Sessions | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 46.8% | 22.4% |
| Lindsey Heben | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 17.2% | 71.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.