Race 7B

shamrock-scramble

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nicholas Peluchiwski 15.5% 18.4% 19.8% 19.0% 15.3% 7.6% 3.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Lively 35.5% 24.3% 17.8% 11.9% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marina Hutzler 17.4% 20.1% 18.3% 17.7% 16.1% 7.3% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah Youtt 11.6% 13.5% 15.0% 18.7% 18.3% 13.6% 6.2% 2.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Emma Turner 11.7% 14.0% 16.4% 15.7% 18.1% 13.6% 7.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin Higgins 2.4% 3.4% 4.6% 6.0% 9.3% 20.5% 21.4% 15.9% 12.7% 3.6% 0.2%
Megan O'Gorman 1.4% 2.7% 2.4% 2.8% 3.8% 10.8% 14.0% 22.7% 26.5% 11.4% 1.5%
Daniel Timofeev 1.9% 1.1% 2.0% 3.4% 5.0% 11.0% 19.3% 21.4% 23.1% 10.7% 1.1%
Grace Marcheselli 1.8% 2.5% 3.2% 3.9% 5.3% 11.5% 19.6% 22.5% 19.6% 8.4% 1.7%
Mary Sessions 0.5% 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 1.6% 1.1% 5.0% 9.7% 12.6% 52.2% 16.3%
Hannah Santantonio 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 4.1% 13.5% 79.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.