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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.24+1.47vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.60+1.37vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.70+0.37vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.20+0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.28-1.14vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-2.03+1.79vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.21-0.73vs Predicted
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8Saint Mary's College-1.68-0.89vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.92-1.34vs Predicted
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10John Carroll University-3.45-0.49vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-4.52-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47University of Wisconsin1.240.3%1st Place
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3.37University of Notre Dame0.600.2%1st Place
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3.37Northwestern University0.700.2%1st Place
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4.14Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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3.86University of Michigan0.280.1%1st Place
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7.79University of Notre Dame-2.030.0%1st Place
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6.27Marquette University-1.210.0%1st Place
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7.11Saint Mary's College-1.680.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Notre Dame-1.920.0%1st Place
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9.51John Carroll University-3.450.0%1st Place
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10.45Ohio State University-4.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lively | 33.5% | 23.9% | 19.3% | 13.3% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Peluchiwski | 17.0% | 19.2% | 20.1% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Hutzler | 16.9% | 18.3% | 19.3% | 19.0% | 15.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 10.3% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 17.3% | 20.4% | 14.7% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Youtt | 12.8% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan O'Gorman | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 8.6% | 15.7% | 20.9% | 25.5% | 15.7% | 2.0% |
| Colin Higgins | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 10.7% | 20.7% | 18.7% | 19.8% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Marcheselli | 2.4% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 13.1% | 21.6% | 20.5% | 18.5% | 7.7% | 0.8% |
| Daniel Timofeev | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 8.5% | 17.7% | 20.8% | 24.7% | 11.8% | 3.6% |
| Mary Sessions | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 14.8% | 44.9% | 22.4% |
| Lindsey Heben | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 16.8% | 71.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.