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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.24+1.56vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.70+1.32vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.28+1.11vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.20+0.21vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.04-2.19vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-1.92+1.57vs Predicted
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7Saint Mary's College-1.68+0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-2.03-0.35vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-1.21-2.48vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-4.52+0.43vs Predicted
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11John Carroll University-3.80-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56University of Wisconsin1.240.3%1st Place
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3.32Northwestern University0.700.2%1st Place
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4.11University of Michigan0.280.1%1st Place
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4.21Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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2.81University of Notre Dame1.040.3%1st Place
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7.57University of Notre Dame-1.920.0%1st Place
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7.06Saint Mary's College-1.680.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Notre Dame-2.030.0%1st Place
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6.52Marquette University-1.210.0%1st Place
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10.43Ohio State University-4.520.0%1st Place
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9.77John Carroll University-3.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lively | 29.3% | 25.2% | 20.2% | 14.4% | 8.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Hutzler | 16.3% | 20.4% | 19.9% | 18.3% | 13.4% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Youtt | 10.5% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 20.5% | 15.2% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 18.6% | 22.5% | 13.6% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 26.1% | 23.1% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Timofeev | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 25.1% | 25.0% | 10.3% | 1.5% |
| Grace Marcheselli | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 13.2% | 21.6% | 21.2% | 20.0% | 5.5% | 0.5% |
| Megan O'Gorman | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 10.3% | 18.1% | 21.5% | 26.2% | 11.1% | 1.6% |
| Colin Higgins | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 20.8% | 20.5% | 18.8% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Lindsey Heben | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 23.4% | 65.8% |
| Thomas Wirbel | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 10.4% | 46.7% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.