Race 1A

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Louisa Nordstrom 16.6% 16.3% 14.2% 12.5% 9.4% 7.7% 5.5% 6.0% 4.1% 3.3% 1.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
AnaLucia Clarkson 2.0% 2.6% 2.6% 3.1% 3.7% 4.1% 3.7% 3.5% 5.0% 5.8% 5.0% 7.1% 8.1% 9.2% 13.1% 21.4%
Lolly Vasilion 5.6% 5.3% 3.6% 6.7% 6.5% 6.7% 6.0% 6.9% 6.4% 7.8% 8.4% 7.8% 8.1% 5.6% 5.1% 3.5%
Hannah Steadman 13.2% 13.4% 12.8% 11.3% 10.0% 8.9% 6.7% 6.5% 5.1% 4.2% 3.5% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Allison Cahn 2.9% 3.0% 4.5% 4.1% 4.6% 5.8% 5.7% 5.4% 6.2% 7.4% 6.8% 8.1% 8.5% 7.5% 10.8% 8.7%
Dana Haig 7.2% 9.3% 10.1% 7.8% 7.3% 7.7% 8.9% 6.9% 8.0% 4.8% 6.8% 5.1% 3.6% 3.7% 2.2% 0.6%
Kathryn Hall 8.0% 6.5% 7.8% 6.7% 6.9% 7.6% 8.0% 6.8% 7.8% 8.1% 6.1% 5.9% 5.7% 4.1% 2.6% 1.4%
Kelsey Slack 3.5% 4.8% 3.6% 3.1% 5.9% 5.3% 4.1% 6.6% 6.0% 5.8% 7.0% 8.3% 8.8% 8.7% 9.5% 9.0%
Emma Kaneti 9.4% 9.4% 7.5% 9.6% 9.3% 7.8% 9.4% 6.5% 6.4% 6.9% 5.0% 3.9% 3.1% 2.7% 1.9% 1.2%
Grace Vincens 3.9% 3.3% 5.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.0% 6.3% 4.7% 6.7% 6.2% 9.0% 7.7% 9.1% 10.6% 9.1% 6.9%
Emma Snead 5.5% 5.7% 4.6% 6.0% 5.7% 5.3% 6.0% 7.3% 6.9% 7.6% 7.1% 8.0% 8.1% 6.5% 5.8% 3.9%
Delaney Bamford 6.6% 6.9% 6.2% 7.5% 7.4% 7.7% 7.9% 6.5% 6.3% 6.2% 6.1% 7.4% 5.5% 5.8% 3.1% 2.9%
Madeline Pope 1.8% 2.1% 2.4% 3.2% 3.5% 3.8% 4.3% 4.4% 4.1% 5.7% 5.2% 6.7% 8.7% 10.7% 12.8% 20.6%
Emma Batcher 3.4% 3.1% 3.9% 3.0% 4.9% 5.2% 5.3% 5.9% 6.6% 7.4% 6.3% 6.8% 8.0% 9.1% 10.8% 10.3%
Talia Toland 7.1% 5.0% 7.3% 6.8% 7.0% 7.6% 7.4% 8.2% 7.9% 6.4% 8.0% 5.9% 4.9% 5.5% 3.3% 1.7%
Carolyn Corbet 3.3% 3.3% 3.9% 5.1% 3.9% 4.8% 4.8% 7.9% 6.5% 6.4% 7.8% 8.5% 7.8% 9.0% 9.3% 7.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.