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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.55+5.95vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.55+4.95vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.44+4.48vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.23+4.42vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.88+1.03vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+1.04vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-3.06vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.21+0.48vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.40-1.46vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.70+0.57vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy1.62+2.93vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.85+1.28vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.31-4.93vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.11-5.05vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut2.51-3.77vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.05-6.96vs Predicted
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17Bates College2.26-4.94vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-8.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.95Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.48Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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8.42Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.03Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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3.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.2%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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7.54Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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10.57Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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13.93Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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13.28Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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8.07Roger Williams University3.310.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
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11.23University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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9.04Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.06Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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9.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rob Struckett | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cook | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 20.5% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan White | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hulse | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 17.9% | 32.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 27.8% | 0.0% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Quentin Chafee | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Sean Andrew | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Drew Shea | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| David Pierce | 2.5% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.