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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+6.68vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.32+9.36vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.40+4.66vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+0.62vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.75+5.09vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+3.96vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.18-1.90vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-1.38vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.70+1.25vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.82-0.11vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.49-3.66vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.69-5.34vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.13-4.41vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.82-4.27vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-6.14vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.34-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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11.36Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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7.66Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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4.62Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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10.09Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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9.96Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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5.1Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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10.25Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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9.89Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.34Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.66Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.59University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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9.73Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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11.58Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Bamford | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 20.0% |
| Talia Toland | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 16.3% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 8.6% |
| Allison Cahn | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% |
| Hannah Steadman | 14.6% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.1% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% |
| Kathryn Hall | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Emma Kaneti | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% |
| Emma Snead | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.