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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+6.68vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+2.95vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.32+8.56vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+4.81vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.69+1.65vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.33-1.36vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.82+2.91vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.82+1.69vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.75+1.03vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.49-2.65vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.13-2.39vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.70-1.74vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.79-3.14vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.40-6.48vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-8.10vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.34-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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4.95Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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11.56Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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8.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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6.65Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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4.64Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.69Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.03Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.61University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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10.26Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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9.86Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.52Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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11.59Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Bamford | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Hannah Steadman | 16.0% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 16.3% | 18.9% |
| Emma Snead | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 15.6% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% |
| Grace Vincens | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% |
| Kathryn Hall | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.2% |
| Allison Cahn | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% |
| Talia Toland | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Dana Haig | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Madeline Pope | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.