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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+3.50vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.82+7.63vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.49+4.28vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.82+5.97vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.70+5.29vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.40+1.70vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-0.09vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.69-1.59vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36-1.27vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.13-1.26vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.18-6.01vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.75-1.95vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.32-1.51vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.79-4.16vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-6.15vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.34-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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9.63Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.28Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.97Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.29Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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7.7Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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6.41Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.73University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.74University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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4.99Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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10.05Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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11.49Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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9.84Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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11.59Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 17.1% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% |
| Kathryn Hall | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.8% |
| Talia Toland | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Dana Haig | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Emma Kaneti | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 14.6% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.2% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 19.7% |
| Allison Cahn | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% |
| Emma Snead | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.