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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+5.69vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+2.55vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.69+3.55vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.18+1.06vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.49+2.31vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.82+3.87vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.40+0.73vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.75+1.95vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.13-0.43vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36-2.12vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-2.28vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.70-1.75vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.79-3.11vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.34-2.58vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.82-5.09vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.32-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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4.55Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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6.55Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.06Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.31Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.87Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.73Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.95Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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8.57University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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7.88University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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10.25Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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9.89Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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11.42Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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9.91Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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11.64Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Haig | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 18.2% | 15.9% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 13.0% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kathryn Hall | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% |
| Talia Toland | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% |
| Emma Snead | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 12.3% |
| Allison Cahn | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% |
| Madeline Pope | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 20.4% |
| Grace Vincens | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.