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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+3.47vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+2.98vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.75+7.06vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.82+5.96vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+2.84vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.40+1.73vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.49+0.40vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.70+2.19vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.13-0.47vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.69-3.40vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-4.16vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.32-0.50vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.34-1.57vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.79-4.22vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-6.20vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.82-6.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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4.98Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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10.06Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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9.96Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.84University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.73Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.4Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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10.19Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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6.6Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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11.5Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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11.43Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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9.78Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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9.87Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 16.9% | 16.5% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 15.6% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Talia Toland | 5.7% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Kathryn Hall | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Emma Batcher | 2.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.9% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Dana Haig | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 21.4% |
| Madeline Pope | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 19.6% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% |
| Emma Snead | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Grace Vincens | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.