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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+5.72vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+2.97vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.69+3.56vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+0.66vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.34+6.57vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.40+1.73vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.79+3.00vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.75+1.90vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.49-1.71vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.32+1.65vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.70-0.78vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-3.29vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.13-4.40vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-6.31vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.82-5.12vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.82-6.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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4.97Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.56Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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4.66Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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11.57Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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7.73Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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10.0Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.9Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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7.29Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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11.65Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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10.22Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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8.6University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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7.69University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.88Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.84Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Haig | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Steadman | 14.6% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 15.1% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Pope | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 19.7% |
| Talia Toland | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Allison Cahn | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% |
| Kathryn Hall | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 22.4% |
| Emma Batcher | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% |
| Emma Snead | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.2% |
| Grace Vincens | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.