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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+3.48vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+2.99vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+4.84vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.13+4.85vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.82+4.84vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.69+0.63vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.84vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.40-0.50vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-2.33vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.75+0.10vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.49-3.69vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.32-0.53vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.70-2.80vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.82-4.35vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.34-3.40vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.79-5.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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4.99Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.84University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.85University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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9.84Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.63Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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7.5Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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10.1Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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7.31Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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11.47Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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10.2Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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9.65Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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11.6Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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10.03Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 16.9% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 15.0% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Emma Snead | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Talia Toland | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Dana Haig | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% |
| Kathryn Hall | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 22.1% |
| Emma Batcher | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 11.1% |
| Grace Vincens | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% |
| Madeline Pope | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 19.5% |
| Allison Cahn | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.