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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+3.77vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+2.47vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.40+4.55vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.75+6.04vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.69+1.50vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.49+1.25vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+0.76vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.79+1.59vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-2.37vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.70+0.15vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.34+0.25vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.32-0.66vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.10-1.00vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.13-5.68vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.82-5.25vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-7.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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4.47Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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7.55Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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10.04Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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6.5Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.25Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.76University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.59Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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10.15Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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11.25Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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11.34Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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12.0Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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8.32University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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9.75Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 16.6% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 17.2% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Kathryn Hall | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Allison Cahn | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Dana Haig | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.4% |
| Madeline Pope | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 17.7% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 19.5% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 24.9% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 4.7% |
| Emma Snead | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.