Race 10A

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Kelsey Slack 2.4% 3.9% 5.9% 4.2% 5.4% 4.6% 6.1% 4.5% 6.7% 6.3% 8.0% 6.6% 10.5% 8.3% 9.8% 6.8%
Emma Kaneti 9.4% 9.5% 9.8% 9.8% 8.2% 7.7% 7.1% 7.4% 7.4% 5.8% 6.1% 4.2% 3.6% 2.1% 1.5% 0.4%
Kathryn Hall 7.9% 7.2% 6.8% 9.0% 7.1% 8.1% 7.7% 7.4% 9.1% 7.8% 6.4% 4.6% 4.0% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0%
Dana Haig 7.6% 9.1% 9.2% 7.9% 7.6% 8.0% 8.7% 7.8% 7.6% 7.1% 5.0% 5.6% 3.6% 2.5% 2.0% 0.7%
Hannah Steadman 13.7% 14.7% 12.7% 11.1% 10.3% 7.8% 8.3% 7.2% 4.4% 3.6% 2.9% 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Carolyn Corbet 3.5% 2.8% 3.8% 5.3% 5.4% 5.9% 6.4% 6.2% 6.5% 6.5% 6.8% 8.0% 7.4% 10.4% 8.1% 7.0%
Talia Toland 7.8% 7.0% 6.2% 6.0% 7.7% 7.1% 7.5% 7.1% 7.3% 8.4% 6.4% 6.3% 6.9% 4.3% 2.8% 1.2%
Emma Snead 4.9% 5.6% 6.7% 5.5% 5.9% 6.2% 6.8% 7.2% 7.2% 7.0% 8.4% 6.8% 8.1% 6.3% 5.0% 2.4%
Lolly Vasilion 5.1% 5.5% 5.7% 5.7% 5.3% 6.5% 7.5% 8.2% 7.1% 7.8% 7.4% 8.3% 5.6% 6.3% 4.7% 3.3%
Louisa Nordstrom 16.8% 14.2% 12.4% 13.1% 13.0% 8.5% 5.7% 5.8% 2.7% 3.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Lucie Ford 2.8% 2.5% 1.5% 2.3% 2.0% 3.1% 3.2% 3.7% 3.5% 5.1% 5.2% 6.3% 7.8% 10.7% 14.6% 25.7%
Delaney Bamford 6.6% 6.8% 6.4% 8.4% 8.1% 6.9% 6.5% 7.5% 6.9% 7.1% 6.1% 6.9% 6.0% 4.4% 3.0% 2.4%
AnaLucia Clarkson 1.9% 1.9% 3.0% 2.4% 3.4% 4.3% 3.9% 3.7% 5.7% 5.4% 5.7% 7.9% 9.3% 11.1% 12.9% 17.5%
Madeline Pope 3.0% 2.0% 2.7% 2.8% 2.8% 3.7% 3.8% 4.5% 6.3% 4.9% 7.1% 8.5% 8.3% 8.8% 13.2% 17.6%
Allison Cahn 3.6% 3.4% 3.9% 3.0% 4.2% 6.8% 6.2% 5.0% 5.7% 6.9% 8.2% 8.9% 8.4% 10.4% 9.2% 6.2%
Emma Batcher 3.0% 3.9% 3.3% 3.5% 3.6% 4.8% 4.6% 6.8% 5.9% 6.6% 8.3% 8.3% 8.9% 10.2% 10.5% 7.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.