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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+3.37vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+5.55vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.69+3.47vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.18+1.00vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.82+4.68vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+2.63vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.49+0.24vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.70+1.95vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.32+2.31vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.79-0.19vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.13-2.50vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-5.30vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.40-5.57vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.34-2.79vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.75-5.03vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.10-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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7.55University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.47Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.0Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.68Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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7.24Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.95Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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11.31Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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9.81Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.5University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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11.21Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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9.97Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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12.18Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 17.8% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Emma Kaneti | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 14.4% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 5.7% |
| Emma Snead | 4.9% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Kathryn Hall | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 18.2% |
| Allison Cahn | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Dana Haig | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Talia Toland | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Madeline Pope | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 17.1% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.