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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.09+1.20vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-1.38-0.12vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.01+0.60vs Predicted
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4University of Miami-0.03-0.30vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.13-1.13vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-2.55-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2University of South Florida1.0932.1%1st Place
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1.88Jacksonville University-1.3843.2%1st Place
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3.6North Carolina State University0.018.6%1st Place
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3.7University of Miami-0.038.3%1st Place
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3.87Rollins College-0.137.0%1st Place
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5.75Florida State University-2.550.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 32.1% | 32.3% | 21.9% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 43.2% | 33.1% | 16.7% | 6.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lyla Solway | 8.6% | 12.6% | 23.1% | 26.2% | 25.6% | 4.0% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 8.3% | 11.1% | 19.7% | 27.8% | 29.3% | 3.9% |
| Julia Scott | 7.0% | 10.2% | 16.9% | 25.9% | 34.5% | 5.5% |
| Olivia Figley | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 86.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.