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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.88+4.85vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+5.11vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+0.73vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.44+3.65vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.31+2.90vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut2.51+5.26vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.96vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.70+2.19vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.55-1.71vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.21-1.69vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.05-1.72vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.55-4.71vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.23-4.66vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.11-5.00vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.85-1.60vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.40-8.27vs Predicted
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17Bates College2.26-5.00vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.62-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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3.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.2%1st Place
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7.65Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.9Roger Williams University3.310.1%1st Place
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11.26University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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9.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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10.19Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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7.29Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.31Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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9.28Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.29Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.34Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
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13.4Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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7.73Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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12.0Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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14.0Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Cook | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 22.1% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean Andrew | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan White | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Shea | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rob Struckett | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Quentin Chafee | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 19.1% | 25.7% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| David Pierce | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hulse | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 36.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.