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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+5.57vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.40+5.41vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.69+3.45vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.49+3.36vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+3.58vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.13+2.59vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.18-2.00vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.33-3.63vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.32+2.27vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.34+1.38vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.70-1.01vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.75-2.10vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.82-3.43vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.79-4.34vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.10-2.83vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.36-8.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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7.41Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.45Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.36Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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8.59University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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5.0Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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4.37Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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11.27Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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11.38Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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9.99Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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9.9Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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9.57Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.66Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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12.17Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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7.72University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Haig | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Talia Toland | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Emma Kaneti | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Kathryn Hall | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Emma Snead | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Hannah Steadman | 15.0% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 18.6% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 16.8% |
| Madeline Pope | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 17.2% |
| Emma Batcher | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.1% |
| Allison Cahn | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% |
| Lucie Ford | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 17.8% | 24.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.