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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.14+9.80vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+6.80vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.77+5.77vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.52+2.32vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.30+1.90vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.38-2.31vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.55+2.62vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.15-0.75vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.89-4.10vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-2.64vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.13-0.05vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.64-2.79vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.89-4.71vs Predicted
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14Boston College1.50-4.41vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.11-3.77vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.75-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.8Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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8.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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8.77Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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6.32Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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6.9Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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3.69Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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9.62Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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7.25University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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4.9Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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10.95Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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9.21Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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9.59Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.23Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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12.34Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 13.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Christine Klingler | 23.7% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carina Becker | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Belda | 14.9% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Grace Woodcock | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 14.8% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% |
| Grace Gear | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 14.4% |
| Allison DeLuca | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.