Race 2B

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Olivia Belda 14.5% 13.6% 12.8% 11.2% 10.8% 9.3% 7.0% 5.0% 6.1% 3.8% 1.9% 1.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Aili Moffet 2.4% 2.7% 3.3% 2.4% 3.4% 4.5% 4.7% 5.1% 5.2% 6.2% 5.4% 7.6% 9.0% 11.4% 11.6% 15.1%
Grace Woodcock 2.9% 2.8% 2.2% 3.3% 2.8% 3.8% 4.3% 4.5% 6.4% 6.7% 5.8% 7.7% 8.9% 10.8% 12.9% 14.2%
Christine Klingler 22.2% 18.1% 14.7% 14.1% 9.3% 7.0% 5.6% 4.0% 2.3% 1.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma AuBuchon 3.6% 4.8% 4.9% 5.0% 5.8% 6.2% 7.8% 8.9% 6.9% 6.5% 7.5% 6.5% 8.3% 8.5% 5.2% 3.6%
Kaila Pfrang 5.2% 6.2% 9.8% 8.3% 7.5% 8.1% 7.0% 7.4% 7.6% 7.1% 6.7% 6.8% 4.8% 4.3% 2.7% 0.5%
Payton Thompson 10.6% 8.7% 8.8% 10.4% 7.7% 10.2% 8.6% 6.7% 6.2% 6.5% 5.5% 4.9% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Grace Gear 4.8% 6.4% 6.4% 5.4% 8.3% 6.3% 7.3% 6.7% 6.8% 8.5% 8.4% 7.5% 5.7% 6.0% 3.4% 2.1%
Rebecca Read 6.4% 8.0% 7.2% 7.9% 7.9% 7.4% 7.8% 9.3% 7.4% 7.5% 5.7% 5.4% 4.5% 3.2% 3.0% 1.4%
Elizabeth Shanahan 3.9% 3.2% 3.7% 4.5% 4.5% 4.3% 5.2% 5.3% 6.4% 6.8% 9.4% 10.2% 9.4% 10.2% 7.6% 5.4%
Carina Becker 4.7% 3.3% 4.5% 4.1% 5.7% 4.8% 5.3% 7.2% 6.2% 6.0% 7.9% 8.6% 9.2% 9.2% 8.0% 5.3%
Victoria Pajak 3.8% 4.7% 4.1% 4.7% 6.2% 6.4% 6.1% 6.7% 7.2% 6.2% 6.7% 7.9% 8.1% 7.6% 8.2% 5.4%
Abbie Carlson 3.9% 4.8% 5.4% 6.2% 6.0% 6.5% 5.6% 8.3% 7.5% 8.1% 8.4% 7.5% 6.7% 5.4% 6.3% 3.4%
Teagan Cunningham 2.7% 3.0% 2.3% 2.5% 3.5% 3.9% 5.0% 4.6% 6.5% 6.3% 7.3% 6.2% 10.5% 8.8% 12.8% 14.1%
Allison DeLuca 1.8% 1.5% 2.3% 1.7% 1.9% 2.2% 2.3% 3.7% 4.4% 5.2% 5.3% 7.0% 7.7% 9.3% 15.2% 28.5%
Sarah Burn 6.6% 8.2% 7.6% 8.3% 8.7% 9.1% 10.4% 6.6% 6.9% 7.4% 7.2% 4.3% 3.4% 2.6% 1.8% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.