Race 3B

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Emma AuBuchon 3.3% 5.9% 5.7% 6.4% 5.0% 6.7% 5.5% 7.2% 7.4% 7.9% 6.7% 6.9% 7.7% 7.1% 6.3% 4.3%
Carina Becker 3.3% 3.8% 4.7% 5.4% 5.3% 4.8% 6.1% 6.2% 5.5% 6.6% 7.2% 8.6% 7.4% 8.6% 9.0% 7.5%
Christine Klingler 23.1% 16.7% 15.0% 13.3% 10.9% 8.0% 4.0% 4.0% 1.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Rebecca Read 5.7% 6.8% 8.0% 6.9% 6.7% 7.2% 8.5% 7.3% 7.4% 7.3% 7.2% 6.4% 5.5% 4.1% 3.1% 1.9%
Olivia Belda 13.7% 13.3% 11.4% 11.1% 11.2% 8.7% 7.7% 6.7% 5.6% 3.9% 3.1% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1%
Payton Thompson 8.4% 8.8% 10.3% 12.8% 6.3% 8.4% 8.8% 7.8% 7.4% 5.2% 5.0% 3.5% 3.2% 2.3% 1.4% 0.4%
Kaila Pfrang 8.2% 6.9% 6.4% 5.5% 8.1% 7.7% 8.3% 7.1% 7.7% 7.2% 6.8% 5.8% 6.1% 5.0% 2.1% 1.1%
Grace Gear 5.0% 6.3% 6.1% 5.0% 7.3% 6.7% 7.6% 7.0% 6.7% 7.5% 8.5% 6.8% 6.1% 5.7% 4.7% 3.0%
Sarah Burn 8.0% 8.0% 8.7% 8.2% 8.3% 7.8% 8.9% 6.6% 8.4% 6.0% 6.2% 5.4% 3.6% 2.3% 2.3% 1.3%
Aili Moffet 2.5% 2.5% 2.8% 2.6% 2.9% 3.3% 3.0% 4.6% 5.2% 6.1% 6.4% 7.3% 9.4% 11.9% 12.2% 17.3%
Elizabeth Shanahan 3.8% 3.8% 4.2% 4.3% 4.5% 5.2% 5.2% 5.7% 5.2% 8.2% 6.1% 8.5% 9.9% 8.5% 9.6% 7.3%
Teagan Cunningham 2.4% 3.2% 2.2% 2.5% 3.1% 3.9% 4.9% 4.9% 6.0% 5.6% 6.6% 7.5% 6.5% 9.3% 12.9% 18.5%
Abbie Carlson 3.6% 4.8% 5.1% 6.2% 5.6% 6.3% 6.4% 7.7% 8.0% 7.0% 6.8% 8.8% 6.7% 6.1% 6.0% 4.9%
Caroline King 3.7% 2.8% 3.7% 2.2% 4.6% 5.4% 5.6% 6.4% 5.6% 6.6% 8.0% 7.3% 8.5% 9.9% 10.0% 9.7%
Victoria Pajak 3.7% 3.9% 3.3% 4.1% 6.4% 6.1% 6.0% 6.1% 7.3% 7.4% 7.7% 7.8% 9.4% 7.7% 7.7% 5.4%
Grace Woodcock 1.6% 2.5% 2.4% 3.5% 3.8% 3.8% 3.5% 4.7% 4.7% 6.5% 6.9% 6.9% 8.6% 10.6% 12.7% 17.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.