Race 4B

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Rebecca Read 5.4% 8.4% 7.3% 7.2% 8.0% 7.5% 7.6% 7.6% 7.1% 8.1% 6.3% 5.5% 6.2% 3.9% 2.7% 1.2%
Sarah Burn 6.8% 9.3% 8.2% 8.7% 7.7% 6.6% 9.6% 7.3% 6.7% 7.1% 5.6% 6.8% 4.5% 2.4% 1.5% 1.2%
Christine Klingler 22.4% 17.5% 15.0% 11.9% 11.7% 7.6% 4.4% 3.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Payton Thompson 7.8% 11.0% 8.7% 9.3% 8.5% 8.7% 7.9% 8.4% 5.4% 7.0% 5.7% 5.3% 2.1% 2.4% 1.2% 0.6%
Emma AuBuchon 4.2% 3.8% 4.7% 4.9% 5.5% 6.3% 7.2% 7.4% 6.9% 6.9% 7.2% 7.7% 8.2% 8.1% 7.1% 3.9%
Abbie Carlson 4.1% 3.2% 4.7% 7.0% 4.4% 8.9% 6.3% 6.9% 6.1% 6.5% 8.3% 7.0% 7.7% 7.9% 6.9% 4.1%
Kaila Pfrang 7.1% 7.1% 6.1% 7.2% 6.3% 8.3% 6.7% 7.7% 8.0% 6.8% 7.1% 7.3% 6.1% 3.7% 3.1% 1.4%
Olivia Belda 14.7% 13.2% 12.1% 9.2% 12.1% 7.9% 8.2% 6.5% 5.7% 3.8% 3.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Victoria Pajak 3.7% 4.4% 5.3% 4.9% 3.6% 5.3% 7.0% 6.0% 8.0% 7.6% 7.5% 8.3% 7.4% 7.2% 7.7% 6.1%
Grace Woodcock 2.4% 2.6% 3.2% 2.5% 2.4% 3.5% 3.3% 3.8% 5.5% 6.5% 5.7% 7.5% 9.8% 12.2% 13.4% 15.7%
Carina Becker 4.0% 3.4% 4.1% 4.8% 4.6% 6.0% 4.0% 5.2% 7.3% 7.0% 7.5% 6.4% 10.3% 8.1% 10.5% 6.8%
Grace Gear 5.1% 4.7% 5.6% 6.0% 7.7% 6.1% 7.0% 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 7.9% 6.8% 6.7% 7.4% 4.3% 4.1%
Pearl Lattanzi 2.2% 1.5% 2.8% 4.0% 3.2% 3.9% 4.0% 3.9% 6.7% 5.6% 6.8% 7.4% 7.9% 11.8% 11.8% 16.5%
Elizabeth Shanahan 3.5% 3.3% 4.3% 3.7% 4.1% 5.5% 5.6% 6.8% 6.2% 7.9% 7.9% 7.1% 8.4% 8.7% 9.5% 7.5%
Ellie Maus 5.5% 5.1% 5.8% 7.1% 8.3% 5.3% 8.3% 8.2% 6.6% 7.6% 7.2% 7.3% 7.3% 4.5% 4.2% 1.7%
Hailey Pemberton 1.1% 1.5% 2.1% 1.6% 1.9% 2.6% 2.9% 3.9% 4.2% 3.9% 5.5% 6.7% 6.2% 10.9% 15.8% 29.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.