Race 5B

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Kaila Pfrang 5.8% 8.4% 7.4% 7.8% 7.4% 8.6% 8.1% 7.2% 7.7% 6.5% 6.3% 7.2% 3.7% 3.4% 3.5% 1.0%
Olivia Belda 13.4% 14.2% 12.0% 11.2% 9.5% 9.3% 7.4% 4.8% 5.9% 4.4% 3.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Rebecca Read 6.7% 5.8% 7.7% 6.8% 7.7% 7.5% 8.1% 8.1% 8.0% 7.9% 7.5% 7.0% 3.4% 4.0% 2.7% 1.1%
Christine Klingler 21.1% 19.6% 12.8% 13.1% 9.2% 7.5% 5.6% 4.7% 3.0% 1.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Grace Gear 4.3% 5.2% 5.7% 5.1% 7.2% 6.9% 7.8% 6.6% 7.5% 8.3% 6.0% 8.1% 8.8% 5.8% 4.9% 1.8%
Ellie Maus 4.8% 5.4% 7.0% 7.4% 7.2% 7.0% 7.4% 8.8% 6.4% 6.9% 7.4% 6.8% 7.1% 4.6% 3.8% 2.0%
Payton Thompson 9.8% 8.9% 9.0% 9.2% 8.4% 8.8% 7.7% 7.8% 8.4% 4.9% 5.5% 5.1% 2.9% 2.1% 1.3% 0.2%
Carina Becker 3.6% 4.3% 4.1% 4.6% 5.1% 5.1% 6.5% 5.4% 6.0% 7.1% 7.4% 8.1% 10.0% 8.8% 8.4% 5.5%
Victoria Pajak 3.8% 4.4% 4.8% 3.8% 5.2% 6.0% 5.5% 8.6% 6.8% 7.3% 9.0% 7.5% 7.2% 7.3% 7.3% 5.5%
Allison DeLuca 1.9% 2.2% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.4% 2.8% 3.0% 2.9% 3.5% 5.2% 6.4% 8.4% 12.3% 15.4% 27.6%
Elizabeth Shanahan 4.5% 2.7% 3.7% 4.8% 5.5% 4.0% 5.3% 4.8% 7.2% 6.5% 9.0% 6.4% 10.3% 9.4% 8.9% 7.0%
Sarah Burn 7.9% 7.6% 8.4% 9.0% 8.7% 7.7% 6.8% 7.3% 5.8% 8.0% 6.1% 7.1% 3.9% 2.7% 2.2% 0.8%
Abbie Carlson 3.5% 3.7% 5.9% 6.9% 4.5% 6.2% 7.4% 7.9% 7.3% 8.1% 8.0% 7.6% 6.5% 7.6% 5.9% 3.0%
Emma AuBuchon 5.2% 3.8% 5.1% 4.5% 6.6% 7.0% 6.5% 6.6% 7.1% 9.1% 5.9% 8.3% 7.6% 8.2% 4.7% 3.8%
Grace Woodcock 2.6% 1.9% 2.9% 2.2% 3.3% 3.4% 4.4% 4.6% 5.8% 4.8% 8.0% 6.6% 9.2% 12.3% 14.0% 14.0%
Hailey Pemberton 1.1% 1.9% 1.5% 1.6% 2.5% 2.6% 2.7% 3.8% 4.2% 5.2% 4.3% 5.2% 9.4% 10.7% 16.8% 26.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.