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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.15+6.35vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.52+4.19vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.89+1.99vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38-0.19vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.89+3.44vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.40+7.20vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.55+2.74vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.77+0.67vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.30-2.15vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.98vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.03-3.15vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-4.59vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.50-3.21vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.64-4.87vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.13-3.82vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.75-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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6.19Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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4.99Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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3.81Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.44University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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13.2Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
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9.74Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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6.85Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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7.85Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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7.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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9.79Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.13Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.18Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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12.36Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Read | 4.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Payton Thompson | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 14.4% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 21.0% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Gear | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 40.3% |
| Carina Becker | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.6% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| Grace Woodcock | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 12.0% |
| Allison DeLuca | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 20.4% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.