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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.15+6.37vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+5.31vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+0.74vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.52+2.38vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.30+1.99vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.89-0.87vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.77+1.87vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.64+1.12vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.13+1.98vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.50-0.13vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-2.11vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.89-3.57vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.55-3.39vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.75-1.88vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.40-1.74vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.03-8.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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7.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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3.74Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.38Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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6.99Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.13Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.87Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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9.12Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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10.98Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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9.87Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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8.43University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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9.61Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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12.12Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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13.26Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
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7.92Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Read | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 22.2% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 12.0% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Victoria Pajak | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 2.5% |
| Grace Woodcock | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 2.7% |
| Grace Gear | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Carina Becker | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 5.3% |
| Allison DeLuca | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 22.4% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 40.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.