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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.03+6.72vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.50+7.65vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.89+2.04vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.30+3.13vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.52+1.23vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.77+2.95vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+0.50vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.64+1.22vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.10vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.15-2.48vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.38-7.27vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.13-1.01vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.89-4.67vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.55-4.50vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.75-2.68vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.40-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.72Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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9.65Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
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5.04Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.13Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.23Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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8.95Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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7.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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9.22Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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7.52University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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3.73Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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10.99Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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8.33University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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9.5Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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12.32Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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13.28Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Maus | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 5.4% |
| Olivia Belda | 14.0% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Victoria Pajak | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Christine Klingler | 23.9% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Woodcock | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 13.5% |
| Grace Gear | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Skye Shepherd | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Allison DeLuca | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 22.2% | 21.8% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.