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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.09+1.21vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-1.38-0.13vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.01+0.63vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.13-0.10vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.03-1.35vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-2.55-0.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21University of South Florida1.0930.5%1st Place
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1.87Jacksonville University-1.3844.2%1st Place
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3.63North Carolina State University0.0110.0%1st Place
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3.9Rollins College-0.136.2%1st Place
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3.65University of Miami-0.038.5%1st Place
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5.74Florida State University-2.550.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 30.5% | 33.7% | 22.7% | 11.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 44.2% | 32.6% | 16.4% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Lyla Solway | 10.0% | 11.5% | 19.9% | 26.9% | 28.1% | 3.8% |
| Julia Scott | 6.2% | 9.6% | 17.8% | 25.9% | 35.2% | 5.2% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 8.5% | 11.8% | 21.4% | 27.4% | 26.7% | 4.2% |
| Olivia Figley | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 86.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.