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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.88+4.87vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.21+6.36vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+0.81vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+5.95vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.05+3.93vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.40+1.89vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.11+1.78vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-0.89vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.70+1.53vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.23-1.74vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.31-2.80vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.44-4.45vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut2.51-1.80vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.55-6.73vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.85-1.78vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.62-1.99vs Predicted
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17Bates College2.26-4.95vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.55-10.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.36Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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3.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.2%1st Place
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9.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.93Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.89Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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10.53Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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8.26Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.2Roger Williams University3.310.1%1st Place
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7.55Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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11.2University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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7.27Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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13.22Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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14.01Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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12.05Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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7.27Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Cook | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 21.9% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Drew Shea | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Quentin Chafee | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan White | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Rob Struckett | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean Andrew | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hulse | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 18.6% | 34.3% | 0.0% |
| David Pierce | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.