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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+2.69vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.64+7.29vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+4.01vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.15+3.76vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.50+5.00vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.03+2.08vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+0.60vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.75+4.30vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.77-0.07vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.89-1.47vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-1.89vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.52-5.68vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.13-1.85vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.11-2.79vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.55-5.12vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.89-10.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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9.29Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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7.01Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.76University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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10.0Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.08Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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7.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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12.3Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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8.93Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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6.32Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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11.15Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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11.21Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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9.88Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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5.12Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 22.6% | 19.5% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Allison DeLuca | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 30.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% |
| Grace Gear | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% |
| Payton Thompson | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Grace Woodcock | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 15.5% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 16.4% |
| Skye Shepherd | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 6.5% |
| Olivia Belda | 13.2% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.