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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.52+5.18vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+5.01vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.50+6.95vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+3.67vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38-1.20vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.15+1.70vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.77+2.06vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.89-3.01vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.11+2.20vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.75+2.48vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.13+0.17vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.55-2.25vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.64-3.60vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.03-6.13vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-5.83vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.89-7.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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7.01Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.95Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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3.8Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.7University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.06Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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4.99Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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11.2Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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12.48Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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11.17Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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9.75Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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9.4Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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7.87Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Thompson | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 3.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Christine Klingler | 22.1% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 14.2% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 16.0% |
| Allison DeLuca | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 28.8% |
| Grace Woodcock | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 16.9% |
| Skye Shepherd | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.2% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.9% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Grace Gear | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.