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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University1.35+12.34vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.81+2.94vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+4.12vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.95+3.56vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.08+8.85vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.27+4.20vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.82+1.19vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.12-0.97vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.06-1.74vs Predicted
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10Princeton University2.35+0.10vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.69-5.73vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.68-3.04vs Predicted
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13William and Mary0.68+1.88vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-8.12vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-8.28vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech0.59-0.72vs Predicted
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17Villanova University0.91-2.45vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University2.31-8.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.34Drexel University1.350.0%1st Place
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4.94Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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7.56Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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13.85Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.2Cornell University2.270.0%1st Place
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8.19Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.03University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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7.26SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.1Princeton University2.350.0%1st Place
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5.27Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.96George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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14.88William and Mary0.680.0%1st Place
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5.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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6.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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15.28Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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14.55Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
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9.89Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toby Sullivan | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 9.8% |
| Sean Segerblom | 12.7% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 13.3% |
| Gerard Eastman | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| JC Hermus | 13.7% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Logue | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Whisner | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 15.9% | 19.9% | 24.1% |
| Hector Guzman | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 19.5% | 30.6% |
| Owen Ward | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 20.4% | 19.7% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.