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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.82+7.30vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.81+2.90vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+3.95vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.12+2.99vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.95+2.59vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.69-0.82vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-0.93vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-1.17vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.68-0.41vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University2.31+0.13vs Predicted
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11Drexel University1.35+2.21vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.27-1.60vs Predicted
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13Princeton University2.35-3.36vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.06-6.99vs Predicted
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15Villanova University0.91-0.65vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech0.59-0.83vs Predicted
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17William and Mary0.21-1.03vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.08-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.3Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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4.9Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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6.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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7.59Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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5.18Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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6.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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8.59George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.13Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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13.21Drexel University1.350.0%1st Place
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10.4Cornell University2.270.0%1st Place
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9.64Princeton University2.350.0%1st Place
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7.01SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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14.35Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
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15.17Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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15.97William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
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13.74Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 12.1% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.4% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 12.7% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Logue | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Toby Sullivan | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 7.2% |
| Gerard Eastman | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Connor Mraz | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 19.2% | 15.1% |
| Christopher Magno | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 21.7% | 25.1% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 12.6% | 20.1% | 41.9% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.