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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.31+6.85vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+7.02vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.70+7.32vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.88+2.01vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.21+3.23vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.55+1.33vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.23+1.39vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut2.51+2.90vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+1.17vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-6.27vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.44-3.25vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.85+1.29vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.55-5.67vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.11-5.08vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.40-7.15vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-8.80vs Predicted
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17Bates College2.26-4.93vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.62-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85Roger Williams University3.310.1%1st Place
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9.02Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.32Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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6.01Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.23Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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7.33Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.39Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.9University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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10.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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3.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.2%1st Place
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7.75Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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13.29Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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7.33Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.92University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
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7.85Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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7.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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12.07Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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13.97Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Saltmarsh | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Drew Shea | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan White | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cook | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rob Struckett | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sean Andrew | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 21.1% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 17.8% | 27.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Quentin Chafee | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Pierce | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hulse | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 17.0% | 36.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.