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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+5.33vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.69+3.22vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.31+7.22vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.68+4.50vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.95+2.53vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.12+1.04vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.25vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.81-3.28vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-2.16vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.27+0.32vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.82-2.79vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-5.02vs Predicted
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13Drexel University1.35-0.07vs Predicted
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14Princeton University2.35-4.41vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech0.59+0.16vs Predicted
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16William and Mary0.21-0.03vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.08-3.02vs Predicted
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18Villanova University0.91-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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5.22Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.22Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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8.5George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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7.53Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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7.04University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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7.25SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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4.72Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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10.32Cornell University2.270.0%1st Place
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8.21Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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12.93Drexel University1.350.0%1st Place
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9.59Princeton University2.350.0%1st Place
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15.16Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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15.97William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
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13.98Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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14.2Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Guzman | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 11.5% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Matt Logue | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sean Segerblom | 16.3% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Eastman | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Toby Sullivan | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 6.5% |
| Connor Mraz | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Magno | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 23.2% | 24.2% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 20.2% | 42.2% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 12.8% |
| Owen Ward | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 20.1% | 17.4% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.