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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+6.44vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.81+2.91vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.12+4.27vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+2.07vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.95+2.59vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+0.72vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.69-1.82vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.82-0.04vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.68-0.42vs Predicted
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10Villanova University0.91+4.46vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University2.31-0.94vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.27-1.61vs Predicted
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13Princeton University2.35-3.33vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech0.59+0.92vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-8.22vs Predicted
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16William and Mary0.21-0.06vs Predicted
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17Drexel University1.35-3.71vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.08-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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4.91Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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6.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.59Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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6.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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5.18Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.96Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.58George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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14.46Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
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10.06Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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10.39Cornell University2.270.0%1st Place
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9.67Princeton University2.350.0%1st Place
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14.92Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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6.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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15.94William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
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13.29Drexel University1.350.0%1st Place
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13.78Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sean Segerblom | 12.2% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 13.8% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Logue | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Owen Ward | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 18.5% | 19.9% | 15.5% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Gerard Eastman | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Connor Mraz | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Magno | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 22.4% | 22.8% |
| Carrson Pearce | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 18.2% | 43.2% |
| Toby Sullivan | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 7.5% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.