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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+4.31vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+3.95vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+7.11vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.38+0.47vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.16+3.42vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.74+0.46vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.18+1.38vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.96+1.09vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.43-1.54vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.30-5.17vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.20-2.51vs Predicted
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12Villanova University1.57-1.07vs Predicted
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13Hampton University0.48+1.06vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.75-0.82vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech0.47-0.72vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.44-4.87vs Predicted
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17Drexel University0.58-2.94vs Predicted
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18William and Mary0.37-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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5.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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4.47Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.42Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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6.46George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.38Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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9.09Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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4.83U. S. Naval Academy3.300.2%1st Place
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8.49Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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10.93Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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14.06Hampton University0.480.0%1st Place
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13.18Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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14.28Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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11.13SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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14.06Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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14.38William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Vickers | 12.1% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Welker | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Jack Reiter | 16.6% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Michael Ehnot | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Vir Menon | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Lenox Butcher | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Parker Loftus | 15.8% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Max Gillette | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 16.9% | 20.2% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 11.5% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 16.9% | 20.7% |
| Aidan Molesky | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 19.6% |
| Connor Chapin | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.