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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.03+8.18vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.88+7.71vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.16+5.67vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.30+0.62vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.18+3.29vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.38-1.53vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.37+7.49vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.47+6.13vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-3.29vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.75+3.62vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.74-4.40vs Predicted
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12Villanova University1.57-1.04vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-7.94vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.96-5.05vs Predicted
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15Drexel University0.58-1.07vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.20-7.47vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-7.02vs Predicted
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18Hampton University0.48-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.18University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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9.71SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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8.67Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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4.62U. S. Naval Academy3.300.2%1st Place
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8.29Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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4.47Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
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14.49William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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14.13Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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5.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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13.62Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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6.6George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.96Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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5.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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8.95Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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13.93Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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8.53Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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14.1Hampton University0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Sharpless | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Cormac Murphy | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Parker Loftus | 15.9% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Reiter | 16.7% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 25.4% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 18.6% | 19.4% |
| Lewis Cooper | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 13.9% |
| Michael Ehnot | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Jake Vickers | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 17.3% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Luke Welker | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.