← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.05+7.86vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.88+3.90vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.40+4.70vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont3.11+4.89vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University3.21+3.24vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+4.11vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+0.22vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College3.55-1.00vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University3.31-0.71vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College3.44-2.55vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-7.12vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College3.55-5.00vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.70-2.62vs Predicted
-
14University of Connecticut2.51-2.76vs Predicted
-
15Middlebury College1.85-1.58vs Predicted
-
16Yale University3.23-7.61vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy1.62-3.04vs Predicted
-
18Bates College2.26-5.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.86Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
-
5.9Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
-
7.7Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
-
8.89University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
-
8.24Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
-
10.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
-
7.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
-
7.0Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
-
8.29Roger Williams University3.310.0%1st Place
-
7.45Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
-
3.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.2%1st Place
-
7.0Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
-
10.38Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
-
11.24University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
-
13.42Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
-
8.39Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
-
13.96Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
-
12.06Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Shea | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cook | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Quentin Chafee | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 22.1% | 18.3% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan White | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Andrew | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 26.4% | 0.0% |
| Rob Struckett | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hulse | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 18.2% | 33.9% | 0.0% |
| David Pierce | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.