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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.30+3.95vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+4.04vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+2.33vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.96+5.19vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.16+3.56vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.38-1.48vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.03+2.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+0.60vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.74-2.57vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.88-0.17vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.20-2.39vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech0.47+2.56vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.18-4.62vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.58-0.27vs Predicted
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15Villanova University1.57-4.27vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.48-1.61vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.75-3.38vs Predicted
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18William and Mary0.37-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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5.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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9.19Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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8.56Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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4.52Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
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9.08University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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6.43George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.83SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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8.61Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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14.56Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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8.38Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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13.73Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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10.73Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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14.39Hampton University0.480.0%1st Place
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13.62Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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14.46William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Loftus | 13.4% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jake Vickers | 11.7% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack Reiter | 16.7% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Michael Ehnot | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cormac Murphy | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 18.0% | 23.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 15.7% |
| Max Gillette | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 18.6% | 21.4% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 12.4% |
| Connor Chapin | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 18.7% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.