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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.03+8.21vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.20+6.62vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.38+1.65vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+1.79vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.30-0.27vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-0.77vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.74-0.50vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.37+6.46vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.18-0.61vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-1.05vs Predicted
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11Villanova University1.57-0.19vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.96-2.34vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College1.88-3.58vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.16-5.62vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech0.47-0.63vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.58-1.93vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.75-3.38vs Predicted
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18Hampton University0.48-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.21University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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8.62Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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4.65Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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4.73U. S. Naval Academy3.300.2%1st Place
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5.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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6.5George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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14.46William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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8.39Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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8.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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10.81Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.66Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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9.42SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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8.38Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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14.37Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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14.07Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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13.62Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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14.16Hampton University0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Sharpless | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Reiter | 13.5% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Loftus | 17.0% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Vickers | 12.3% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ehnot | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Chapin | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 19.1% | 24.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Max Gillette | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Vir Menon | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Cormac Murphy | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Clayton Snyder | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 20.7% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 17.6% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 14.0% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.