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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.30+3.87vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+3.92vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.20+5.56vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+5.76vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+0.10vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.74+0.40vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.89+2.42vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.18+0.27vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech0.47+5.27vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.16-1.28vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.38-6.43vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.88-2.23vs Predicted
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13Villanova University1.57-2.52vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.03-5.27vs Predicted
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15Drexel University0.58-1.07vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.48-1.69vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.75-3.48vs Predicted
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18William and Mary0.37-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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5.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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8.56Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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5.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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6.4George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.42Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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8.27Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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14.27Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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8.72Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.57Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
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9.77SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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10.48Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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8.73University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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13.93Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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14.31Hampton University0.480.0%1st Place
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13.52Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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14.39William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Loftus | 13.9% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 8.4% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Welker | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Jake Vickers | 13.8% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ehnot | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 19.0% | 18.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Jack Reiter | 17.3% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cormac Murphy | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Max Gillette | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 17.3% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 21.7% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 14.1% |
| Connor Chapin | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.