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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.30+3.88vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+8.03vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.88+6.61vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.20+4.22vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.74+1.39vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-0.19vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.38-2.51vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.18+0.27vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.57+1.50vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.89-0.34vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.37+3.37vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-6.61vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.35+2.85vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.43-6.75vs Predicted
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15Hampton University0.48-0.96vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech0.47-1.97vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.16-8.38vs Predicted
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18Drexel University0.58-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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10.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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9.61SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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8.22Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.39George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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4.49Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.27Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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10.5Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.66Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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14.37William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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5.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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15.85Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.25University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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14.04Hampton University0.480.0%1st Place
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14.03Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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8.62Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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13.59Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Loftus | 13.5% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Welker | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Cormac Murphy | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Michael Ehnot | 9.0% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 17.4% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Spencer Charney | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Connor Chapin | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 20.7% | 16.9% |
| Jake Vickers | 12.5% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 17.7% | 44.4% |
| Lenox Butcher | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 18.5% | 12.3% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 12.9% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.