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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+3.44vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.96+1.20vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.81+0.26vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+1.97vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.87-0.03vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+0.86vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-3.17vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.73-2.69vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara-0.29-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.2University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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3.26Stanford University1.810.2%1st Place
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5.97University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
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4.97University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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6.86University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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3.83California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.2%1st Place
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5.31University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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7.16University of California at Santa Barbara-0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyson Crowley | 11.8% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Grace Yakutis | 21.0% | 23.1% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| AnaClare Sole | 23.7% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Keelin Davis | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 15.2% |
| Hayden Lahr | 8.1% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 6.5% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 15.0% | 23.4% | 28.3% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 15.4% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 8.4% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 8.3% |
| Francesca Alegre i parellada | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 21.5% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.