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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+2.86vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.63vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara-0.29+4.21vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.96-1.05vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+0.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.73vs Predicted
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7Stanford University1.81-3.75vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.87-2.95vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.2%1st Place
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4.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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7.21University of California at Santa Barbara-0.290.0%1st Place
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2.95University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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5.91University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
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5.27University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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3.25Stanford University1.810.2%1st Place
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5.05University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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6.87University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emi Stephanoff | 16.8% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Alyson Crowley | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 2.5% |
| Francesca Alegre i parellada | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 21.2% | 38.4% |
| Grace Yakutis | 24.6% | 24.7% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Keelin Davis | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 15.4% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 6.5% |
| AnaClare Sole | 21.0% | 21.7% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Hayden Lahr | 9.5% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 10.5% | 5.7% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 22.4% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.