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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+3.06vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.96+0.86vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+0.60vs Predicted
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4Stanford University1.81-0.89vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.04vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.87-1.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.29-0.44vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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2.86University of Southern California1.960.3%1st Place
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3.6California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.2%1st Place
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3.11Stanford University1.810.2%1st Place
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4.96University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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4.64University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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6.56University of California at Santa Barbara-0.290.0%1st Place
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6.21University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyson Crowley | 12.3% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 8.9% | 3.5% |
| Grace Yakutis | 26.5% | 23.0% | 18.5% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 17.6% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| AnaClare Sole | 22.3% | 20.9% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 18.3% | 18.5% | 8.8% |
| Hayden Lahr | 8.7% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 7.8% |
| Francesca Alegre i parellada | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 22.3% | 45.2% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 16.6% | 24.9% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.