← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+2.53vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.19vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California1.96-0.17vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University1.81-0.91vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara-0.29+1.57vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley0.73-1.12vs Predicted
-
7University of Hawaii0.87-2.28vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.53California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.2%1st Place
-
4.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
-
2.83University of Southern California1.960.3%1st Place
-
3.09Stanford University1.810.2%1st Place
-
6.57University of California at Santa Barbara-0.290.0%1st Place
-
4.88University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
-
4.72University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
-
6.19University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emi Stephanoff | 16.4% | 18.2% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 1.2% |
| Alyson Crowley | 10.9% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 4.4% |
| Grace Yakutis | 27.5% | 21.9% | 19.2% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| AnaClare Sole | 22.5% | 21.6% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Francesca Alegre i parellada | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 22.1% | 44.6% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 8.6% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 18.3% | 16.6% | 8.9% |
| Hayden Lahr | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 8.5% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 16.5% | 25.1% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.