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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+2.82vs Predicted
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2Stanford University1.81+1.41vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+3.11vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.96-1.06vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.68vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+0.80vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.73-1.62vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara-0.29-0.81vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.87-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.2%1st Place
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3.41Stanford University1.810.2%1st Place
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6.11University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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2.94University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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4.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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5.38University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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7.19University of California at Santa Barbara-0.290.0%1st Place
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5.03University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emi Stephanoff | 17.3% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| AnaClare Sole | 17.7% | 21.6% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Keelin Davis | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 18.3% | 19.7% | 15.1% |
| Grace Yakutis | 24.8% | 23.7% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Alyson Crowley | 12.5% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 24.3% | 26.7% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 7.8% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 7.5% |
| Francesca Alegre i parellada | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 18.7% | 40.5% |
| Hayden Lahr | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.