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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+2.53vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.20vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.96-0.17vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.96vs Predicted
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5Stanford University1.81-1.95vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+0.21vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.87-2.26vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara-0.29-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.2%1st Place
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4.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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2.83University of Southern California1.960.3%1st Place
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4.96University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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3.05Stanford University1.810.2%1st Place
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6.21University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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4.74University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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6.49University of California at Santa Barbara-0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emi Stephanoff | 16.4% | 17.6% | 19.2% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Alyson Crowley | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 4.6% |
| Grace Yakutis | 27.3% | 22.2% | 19.1% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 20.5% | 16.6% | 10.0% |
| AnaClare Sole | 23.2% | 22.6% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 23.6% | 33.8% |
| Hayden Lahr | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 9.1% |
| Francesca Alegre i parellada | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 24.7% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.