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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+2.87vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara-0.29+5.35vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.87+2.08vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.21vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.64vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.96-3.05vs Predicted
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7Stanford University1.81-3.75vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-1.92vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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7.35University of California at Santa Barbara-0.290.0%1st Place
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5.08University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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5.21University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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4.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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2.95University of Southern California1.960.3%1st Place
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3.25Stanford University1.810.2%1st Place
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6.08University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
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6.85University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emi Stephanoff | 14.9% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Francesca Alegre i parellada | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 20.3% | 41.1% |
| Hayden Lahr | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 4.4% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 6.2% |
| Alyson Crowley | 12.2% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 2.4% |
| Grace Yakutis | 25.5% | 21.6% | 20.6% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| AnaClare Sole | 21.9% | 19.4% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Keelin Davis | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 15.8% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 22.8% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.